Historically, Bitcoin has delivered remarkable returns in the December following U.S. presidential elections. During the last two cycles, the cryptocurrency gained 30% and 46%, respectively.
If this pattern repeats, Bitcoin could end the year trading between $125,000 and $140,000.
Historically, #Bitcoin $BTC has surged in the December following US Presidential elections, with gains of 30% and 46% in the last two cycles.
If history repeats, we could see $BTC closing the year in the $125,000–$140,000 range! pic.twitter.com/Dd1h0eM4oH
— Ali (@ali_charts) November 30, 2024
Recent market activity supports bullish sentiment. Over the past 72 hours, more than 55,000 BTC—worth an estimated $5.34 billion—have been withdrawn from exchanges.
This suggests strong accumulation by investors, typically a positive sign for price momentum.
Over 55,000 #Bitcoin $BTC have been withdrawn from exchanges in the last 72 hours, worth around $5.34 billion! pic.twitter.com/4YrlwDnUjY
— Ali (@ali_charts) November 30, 2024
However, long-term Bitcoin holders have also been taking profits as prices climbed from $62,000 to $99,000.
While this might seem bearish, it’s important to note that profit-taking is a hallmark of every bull market. Historically, such activity has not prevented further upward movement in Bitcoin’s price.
Long-term #Bitcoin $BTC holders have been booking profits as prices rose from $62,000 to $99,000, but this shouldn’t be a reason to turn bearish and short the corn!
Notice that in every bull market, that’s what long-term holders always do: they book profits! pic.twitter.com/IHMcWpIbe5
— Ali (@ali_charts) November 29, 2024
Bitcoin ETFs Records Outflow But With A Twist
Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs have shown mixed signals, recording outflows on two of the four trading days this week. Despite this, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) continued to dominate the ETF market. The fund added 4,230 BTC (valued at $405.3 million), bringing its total holdings to 496,853 BTC, worth approximately $47.83 billion.
Spot ETF:
$135.1M to $BTC and
$466.5M to $ETH
Week: 25 to 29 November 2024
On November 29, ETH ETFs recorded a net inflow of $332.9M—the largest since their launch—surpassing the previous high of $295M on November 11.
Overall, ETH ETFs had a full week of… pic.twitter.com/UrdadqWPW7
— Spot On Chain (@spotonchain) November 30, 2024
While some investors are booking profits and ETFs show inconsistent inflows, the broader market dynamics—coupled with historical trends—point toward potential year-end gains for Bitcoin. As always, market participants should remain cautious and consider the cyclical nature of both profit-taking and accumulation during bull runs.
Disclosure: This is not trading or investment advice. Always do your research before buying any cryptocurrency or investing in any services.
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Image Source: releon003/123RF // Image Effects by Colorcinch
